Dr. Hal Arkes
Emeritus Professor, Quantitative
240N Lazenby Hall
1827 Neil Ave
- Ph.D. University of Michigan
- B.A. Carleton College
Honors and Awards: President, Society for Judgment and Decision Making 1996-1997. Elected "Fellow" of American Psychological Society 1997. College of Arts & Sciences Outstanding Teacher Award (Ohio University) 1987. Provost's Teaching Recognition Award (Ohio University) 1989, 1990.
Research AreasJudgment/decision making
Medical decision making
Economic decision making
Arkes, H. R. (2013). The consequences of the hindsight bias in medical decision making. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 22, 356-360.
Arkes, H. R., & Gaissmaier, W. (2012). Psychological research and the PSA test controversy. Psychological Science, 23, 547-553.
Arkes, H. R., Shoots-Reinhard, B., & Mayes, R. S. (2012). Disjunction between probability and verdict in decision making. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 25, 276-294.
Arkes, H. R., Hirshleifer, D., Jiang, D., & Lim, S. (2010). A cross-cultural study of reference point adaptation: Evidence from China, Korea, and the US. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 112, 99-111.
Marks, M. A. Z., & Arkes, H. R. (2010). The effects of mental contamination on the hindsight bias: Source confusion determines success in disregarding knowledge. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 23, 131-160.
Shaffer, V. A., & Arkes, H. R. (2009). Preference reversals in evaluations of cash versus non-cash incentives.Journal of Economic Psychology, 30, 859-872.
Lightle, J., Kagel, J., & Arkes, H. R. (2009). Information exchange in group decision making: The hidden profile problem reconsidered. Management Science, 55, 568-581.
Arkes, H. R., Shaffer, V. A., & Medow, M. A. (2008). The Influence of a Physician's Use of a Diagnostic Decision Aid on the Malpractice Verdicts of Mock Jurors. Medical Decision Making, 28, 201-208.
Arkes, H. R., Hirshleifer, D, Jiang, D., & Lim, S. (2008). Reference Point Adaptation: Tests in the Domain of Security Trading. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 105, 67-81.
Arkes, H. R., Shaffer, V. A., & Dawes, R. M. (2006). Comparing holistic and disaggregated ratings in the evaluation of scientific presentations. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 19.
Arkes, H. R. (2003). The non-use of psychological research at two federal agencies. Psychological Science, 14, 1-6.
Arkes, H. R., & Mellers, B. A. (2002). Can juries meet our expectations? Law & Human Behavior, 26, 625-639.
Arkes, H. R. (2000). Why medical errors can't be eliminated: Uncertainties and the hindsight bias. Chronicle of Higher Education, Vol XLVI, No. 37, (May 19), B6.